Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Ocala

MarionUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 12 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 30 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 22 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:01PM EDT until March 16 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 273,908 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 86 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence86%
Coordinates29.3733, -82.0020
Nearest CityOcala (24 km)
Population Exposed273.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-03-16T18:01:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.328c68db496587440990fb665a68b6c1

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescLake, FL; Orange, FL; Seminole, FL; Volusia, FL; Clay, FL; Putnam, FL; St. Johns, FL; Dixie, FL; Lafayette, FL
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 2:01PM EDT until March 16 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-03-16T14:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.328c68db496587440990fb665a68b6c1aa046208.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.618d59244497869c46469c0b635eb5713ac87b85.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bd3c42f6ca847591579dce8f66cdd1a96b0afded.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude40
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City3 SE University of Flor
Iem CountyAlachua
Iem StateFL
Iem WfoJAX
Iem RemarkMesonet station 2025W Fswn Sweetwater Wetlands Park measured 40 mph gust.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_29.700_-82.280_1773681720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773681720000,"latitude":29.7,"longitude":-82.28},{"id":"iem_G_29.620_-82.320_1773681000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773681000000,"latitude":29.62,"longitude":-82.32}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Ocala (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.